SCOTLAND .. and BRAZIL 2014

Consistent failure, under a variety of (generally, poor and low grade) bosses should persuade MOST people to accept the FACT that Scotland`s football decline is a LONG-TERM problem due to SFA mis-management. There are NO IDENTIFIABLE SHORT-TERM ISSUES in our game ...  As the time approaches for BRAZIL, people will certainly have to recognise that we are in a six team group ... and have to IMPROVE SUBSTANTIALLY to make any impression. While this remains highly unlikely because of the failure to tackle underlying long-term decline and dreadful organisation of the scottish game, it is important that the blame is placed fairly and squarely where it belongs ...  NOT on managers or players .. but with Governments and SFA,  who should be doing something about it. But, if media, citizens and clubs don`t demand action, what pressure exists for change ?  The future is bleak ...

How we did in UEFA 2012

Croatia   7   1   2    18-  7  22   (F2)
Belgium   4   3   3    21-15  15   (A3)
Serbia   4   3   3    13-12  15   (C3)
Scotland   3   2   3     9-10   11   (I 3)
Wales   3   0   5     6-10    9   (G4)
Macedonia   2   2   6     8-14    8   (B5)



SCOTLAND RECORD - the downward spiral.

Pyramid News first published the Scotland Record in the mid- 90`s, supported by statistics which showed Scotland`s persistent decline from around World War 1, prior to which they hardly lost one in ten games. The full record from Jock Stein`s death in 1985 is on this site. New statistics based on 20 championship match periods since 1960 again chart that persistent slow decline, until a huge invasion of `minnows` to the UEFA scene from the  1990`s following the break up of USSR and Yugoslavia, after which the trend continues, until today, when we have lost more goals in a 20-match spread than we score -  for the first time ever. The FACTS are here ... and they cannot be in dispute ..

Modern Scotland 20-CH- match spreads

Period         W   D   L    F  A      Pts     GD
1961-69         11   4   5    38 - 29   37     +   9
1969-75           9   4   7    29 - 20   31     +   9
1976-82        10   4   6    32 - 24   34     +   8
1982-85           7   6   7    31 - 26   27     +   5
1985-89          8   6   6    21 - 19   30     +   2
1989-93           7   6   7    24 - 22   27     +   2
1993-96          11  5   3    31 - 10   38     + 21
1996-99         10  5   5    28 - 19   35     +   9
1999-03          11  5   4    29 - 16   38     + 13
2003-07         10  3   7     26 - 20  33     +   6
2007-10          9   3   8    20 - 26   30     -    6


 Scotland`s 20 championship match goals deficit is the clearest positive confirmation of continued decline in spite of what the rubbish team manager and other `excuse` merchants at SFA are saying.

Credible researchers and `Pyramid` campaigners associate this steady decline to the rise of more and more associations, which are, generally, better organised than SFA. Principally, the lack of a reasonable club system (equivalent to Norway, Sweden, Denmark and other European competitor nations .... see the FIFA comparison page) is considered the most likely cause of consistently poorer talent production. According to SFA - since Roxburgh and Brown - the cause is `kids not playing in the street`, which, presumably, only affected Scotland (?) , or, other countries were better organised to deal with it if such nonsense was ever actually relevant in the first place. How, may we ask, do Spanish and German players have such a good touch, pass and movement ? Do they play in the street ?  Also, it wouldn`t have explained the decline from 1920 - 1960 ..... ?   

Over the half-century, from 1961-2010, Scotland did not enter France (1960) and Spain (1962), whilst the Home championship doubled for Italy (1968). The team qualified for finals of Germany (74), Argentina (78), Spain (82), Mexico (86), Italy (90), Sweden (92), England (96) and France (98), since when they have not qualified for six consecutive finals competitions. Again, this latter statistic is wholly consistent with the `organisational` theory of persistent decline.

On the other hand, there was a `baby boom` in the post-war period which meant a huge rise in the number of young people by 1980, after which population declined consistently until a recent influx of  East Europeans.
We estimate decline is due to all these factors, but mostly to the fact that SFA is not organised enough to deal with fluctuation in social conditions, finances or competition. Experience from abroad shows that it requires a consistently well-organised CLUB SYSTEM and universally applied resources and standards .. which no-one here is yet ready to install (.. or countenance ?) ..

RECENT SCOTLAND MANAGERS - CHAMPIONSHIP RECORD
Since all managers face different opposition and have a measure of choice; Andy Roxburgh and Craig Brown had a penchant for playing Canada, USA, Malta, San Marino, etc and won 90% of those friendlies, whilst Bertie Vogts chose much harder opposition to stiffen up our squad; the more certain measure of Scotland`s and manager`s progress or decline is in the major UEFA and FIFA competitions, although these too have had something of a dunt from the break up of USSR and Yugoslavia, plus the admission of a few very small states.

To measure manager`s progress at various stages of their careers, some short some long,  we choose the earliest games and compare equal numbers, as we have done with the SCOTLAND results ( over periods of 20 championship games). The last manager reached 8 games, so that is where we are, although we have tables for other numbers, should managers reach them. Alex Ferguson was temporary following the death of Jock Stein and had just five major games, including the Mexico `86 WC finals, so we discount him.

MANAGER            P      W   D   L   F   A   Pts
Craig Brown            8        5    2    1   14-  3   17
Alex McLeish          8       5    0    3   12-  9   15
Walter Smith          8       4    2    2   14-  5   14
Berti Vogts              8       4    2    2   12-  8   14
Jock Stein                8       4    1    3    14-10  13
Andy Roxburgh      8       3    3    2     7 - 5   12
Craig Levein           8       3    2    3     9-10   11
George Burley         8       3     1   4    6 -11   10


CHAMPIONSHIP SCORERS  since Jock Stein`s death (10.09.85)  175 goals   (caps - all matches)
13 -  Ally McCoist (61)
10 -  James McFadden (48), John Collins (58),
Kenny Miller (58)
9   -  Kevin Gallagher (53),
7   -  Billy Dodds (26), Mo Johnston (38)
5   -  Gordon Durie (43)
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4   -  Kris Boyd, Don Hutchison, Pat Nevin, Paul McStay, Davie Cooper, OG

3   -  Darren Fletcher, Neil McCann, Colin Hendry, Gary McAllister, John McGinlay, Scott Booth, Billy McKinlay, Richard Gough, Christian Dailly

2   - Steven Naismith, John Robertson (HEA), Stephen McManus, Barry Ferguson, Steven Fletcher, Gary O`Connor, Colin Cameron, Allan Johnston, Eoin Jess, Craig Burley, David Hopkin, Brian McClair, Gordon Strachan.

1   -  Scott Brown, Ross McCormack, Kirk Broadfoot, Lee McCulloch, Sean Maloney, Craig Beattie, Gary Caldwell, Paul Hartley, Steven Thompson, Paul Dickov, Lee Wilkie, Gary Naysmith, Paul Lambert, Dougie Freedman, David Weir, Matt Elliot, Gary McSwegan, Paul Ritchie, Tom Boyd, Darren Jackson, Colin Calderwood, Duncan Shearer, Stuart McCall, Gary Mackay, Frank McAvennie, Craig Mackail-Smith, David Goodwillie

The following stats are are only updated annually in December ..................


COMPETITIVE HISTORY POINTS
Despite not going widely until after 1930... more so after 1950.. Scotland would have been No 1 in the early years and in the top 5 countries until around 1910. Until 1950, we had murdered just about everybody ... the record stood:
         versus        P      W    D    L
England             67    30 - 16 - 21
Wales                63    39 - 12 - 12
Ireland/NI       55    43 -   6 -   6
Europe              22    13 -   3 -   6
---------------------------------------
Overall            207   125- 37- 45 

From 1951 to the beginning of 11-12 season, the stats showed: 

                              P    W   D     L       (all-time total)
England             43   11 -  8 -  24     ( 41 - 24 - 45)
Wales                 41   21 - 11-    9     ( 60 - 23 - 21)
N Ireland          38   18 - 11-    9      ( 61 - 17 - 15)
UEFA              313 137 - 71-105      (150- 74-111)
S.America         28     6 -   7-  15           all since 1951
NC.America      12     8 -   2-    2           all since 1951
Asia                    11     3 -   5-    3          all since 1951
Oceania               2      1 -   1-    0         all since 1951 (Australia inc in Asia)
Africa                   6     2 -   0 -   4         all since 1951

the last 25 matches (to end 2011) give a more telling picture :

Friendly             12     6     0      6      14-15
Championship   13     5     2      6      13-19  (qualifies for nothing)
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                            25   11-   2-   12     27-34

The crucial lack of goals scored (and defenders) is evident in all comparisons  and is at the heart of poor long-term results. We don`t create enough chances (slow midfield) and have not found a reasonable strike pair.
Craig Levein, thus, is not part of the solution .. but a new part of our problem.

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